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Storm Summary 10

Welcome to the tenth “Storm Summary” post of the hurricane season. Most Fridays from now until the official end of the season (November 30) I will post an update on past and present hurricanes in the Atlantic and Pacific, like the following:

NAME PEAK STATUS DATE LOCATION DAMAGE
Carlos Cat. 1 7/10 to 7/16 East Pacific None
Felicia Cat.  4 8/3 to 8/11 East Pacific None
Guillermo Cat. 3 8/12 to 8/19 East Pacific None
Bill Cat. 4 8/15 to 8/24 Mid Atlantic No major damage
Fred Cat. 3 9/7 to 9/12 South Atlantic None
Jimena Cat. 4 8/29 to 9/4 East Pacific No major damage
Linda Cat. 1 9/7 to 9/11 East Pacific None
Rick Cat. 5 10/15 to 10/21 East Pacific No major damage
Neki Cat. 3 10/18 to present Central Pacific None


We have a couple of things new on this list to discuss. First, Hurricane Rick. This storm became the first category 5 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific since Hurricane Kenna in 2002. Though Hurricane Rick reached category 5 status over open waters, by the time it made landfall near Mazatlan, it was merely a tropical storm, one which soon dissipated over the mountains of Western Mexico. The newest hurricane, Neki, became the first major hurricane originating from the Central Pacific since Hurricane Ioke in 2006. Currently, the storm is 115 miles south-southeast of French Frigate Shoals.

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Though the Atlantic has only seen two official hurricanes, the waters of the Pacific are seeing constant activity, due, in part, to El Niño, which is “the periodic warming of central and eastern tropical Pacific waters [that] occurs on average every two to five years and typically lasts about 12 months.” Although most people think of this phenomenon in negative terms for the damage it can spur on the West Coast, it is actually beneficial to the East Coast/Gulf Coast in the sense that warmer waters in the Pacific usually create conditions that suppress Atlantic hurricanes.

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Why exactly this occurs is not something I’m qualified to explain but, as I recall, it has something to do with warm and cool air mixing in a different way and creating a “wind shear” that helps prevent storms from developing. The International Research Institute for Climate and Society can probably explain it better. For hard proof of El Niño, consider the fact that the Pacific has seen 23 named storms, mostly tropical storms and hurricanes, while the Atlantic waters have seen only 10.

For constant, up-to-date storm information, visit NOAA. And for breaking information on the insured losses the storms create, check out the Insurance Information Institute and the Insurance Services Office.

Most importantly, don’t forget to check back next Friday for our eleventh “Storm Summary” installment.

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hurricane

Unnecessary Roughness

Anybody who watched the Tampa Bay Buccaneers play the Carolina Panthers last Sunday got to see one of the more egregious fouls in recent NFL history. With only 0:10 left to go in the first half, Carolina punted to Tampa Bay for what was supposed to be an otherwise normal return. What happened, however, was anything but.

As Tampa Bay receiver Clifton Smith waited for the ball to land in his arms, he was leveled by a flying tackle to the head courtesy of Panthers safety Dante Wesley. To say this was a cheap shot grossly understates the term “cheap shot,” as the ball was nowhere near landing in Smith’s hands when he was hit. In fact, when you watch the video of the whole thing, it is clear that by the time Wesley had launched off the ground at Smith, Smith still did not have the ball.

The impact knocked Smith out cold for a good minute before he managed to get back to his feet and was taken off the field. As for Wesley, he was disqualified for the rest of the game and he was also later suspended by the NFL for another game.

This all comes at a time when the NFL is already under pressure to address concerns that the constant head impacts experienced by football players – even those at the college and high school level – are causing brain damage that can lead to early onset dementia, depression and suicide.

Be sure to check out the December issue of Risk Management, when we discuss this topic more fully in an article written by Emily Holbrook. In the meantime, Malcolm Gladwell wrote an outstanding article on this in The New Yorker that is not to be missed. Clearly, the issue of player head trauma has only a little emerging science behind it. But the science that is there suggests that the NFL, along with college and high school football, has a potentially game-breaking liability issue on its hands.

Can Rio Hold a Safe Olympics?

This weekend, a fierce gun battle between two drug gangs in Rio de Janeiro’s “Monkey Hill” slum left some ten suspected gang members dead and entire neighborhoods fearing for their lives as the sound of automatic fire could be heard all day long. At one point, a police helicopter, loitering over the area to direct anti-gang police measures, was hit by gunfire, caught fire and crashed, killing two police on board and injuring several others.

The drug violence of Rio’s favelas is nothing new. But the helicopter shoot-down was shocking, just as it was to hear of such incredible violence in a city that just a month before had been tapped over contenders such as Chicago and Tokyo to host the 2016 Summer Olympics.

In light of the recent gun battle, Brazilian officials have sent thousands of extra police into the slum to crack down on the violence and lawlessness there, but clearly, they face an uphill struggle. Even though the Olympics are several years away, the level of the security problem in the city will surely cast as much of a shadow over the coming games as terrorism fears did over the 2004 Olympics in Athens. At the moment, the U.S. State Department notes that Rio is a fairly dangerous city, crimewise, and that all of Brazil has a crime rate that is quadruple that of the United States. The Overseas Security Advisory Council echoes the State Department’s assessment of things, noting that the “Government of Brazil (GoB) is locked in an intense struggle against drug gangs for control of large areas of the Rio de Janeiro metropolitan area.” After this weekend’s carnage, even that assessment seems to be putting things mildly.

Hopefully, Brazil can marshall the resources and the will needed to address the security problem in a permanent fashion, rather than temporarily suppressing it or displacing it elsewhere. The Olympics have a nasty habit of costing its host cities far more in the long run than they bring in, revenue-wise. After this weekend’s Monkey Hill bloodbath, it might be tempting to wonder if money spent on stadiums and athlete villages should be first spent on keeping the poor sections of town free of machinegun fire.

Toys in the Attic

The final price tag for Mattel’s 2007 recalls of Chinese-made toys that were found to contain lead paint could exceed $70 million after the toymaker and its Fisher-Price subsidiary agreed to settle a consumer class action lawsuit last week.

The latest settlement puts an end to 22 lawsuits and provides refunds for toy buyers and reimbursement for any lead testing expenses they may have incurred after testing their children’s lead exposure.

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Mattel will also create a new, court-monitored quality insurance program and donate 5,000 to the National Association of Children’s Hospitals and Related Institutions.

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The recalls prompted a new federal law mandating third party testing for lead and other harmful contaminants for all toy manufacturers (although the Consumer Product Safety Commission recently allowed Mattel to use its own labs) and was yet another example of the growing concern about the safety of Chinese-made products. In the past three years, consumers have seen defective tires and drywall, and contaminated toothpaste, pet food, milk, and medicine, in addition to the lead-painted toys, all of which were made in China.

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