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Hurricane Earl Projected to Possibly Strike Northeast

There is a fictional book titled Landstrike that details the scenario of a disastrous hurricane striking the New York City area. From the book’s website:

Someday, a major hurricane will strike New York City. Government forecasters concede they’ll be unable to give the City much notice, while the City’s emergency planners admit evacuation is impossible. It’s a recipe for disaster on a scale to dwarf Hurricane Katrina’s devastation of New Orleans, potentially leading to the largest natural catastrophe in American history.

As we all know, NYC is very much unprepared for the type of storm that frequents the warmer waters of the Gulf of Mexico.

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Some may recall the story of the Great Hurricane of 1938 that struck eastern Long Island and New England, killing more than 700 people, destroying more than 50,000 buildings and knocking down more than a quarter billion trees.

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If a serious hurricane were to strike the NYC area today, it would undoubtedly be one of the most costly natural disasters in U.S. history. As the Insurance Information Institute states, New York has the highest total exposure to a storm.

Screen shot 2010-08-30 at 10.38.25 AM

Not to be a fear monger, but now let us look at the projected path of Hurricane Earl, courtesy of the National Hurricane Center (NHC). I understand that this is a projection through Saturday, which, when talking about the path of storms, is long-term and certainly not definitive.

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Still, the image is frightening (note how close to NYC the storm is projected Friday afternoon/evening):

Screen shot 2010-08-30 at 10.50.59 AM

Moments ago, Hurricane Earl reached category 3 status with winds near 120 mph, according to the NHC. We will keep an eye on updates from the center.

This is a good time for businesses to review their business continuity and disaster preparedness plans. There is no such thing as being too prepared.

Are Oil-Eating Bacteria Cleaning Up the Gulf?

It appears that way.

So you know how BP and various others have been trying to sell us on the idea that the gargantuan oil plume in the Gulf of Mexico had somehow magically disappeared? Well, now some Berkeley scientists have confirmed that this actually may be happening, but it isn’t magic. A newly discovered microbe, a particularly gluttonous form of oil-eating bacteria that have existed for millions of years on the ocean floor, appears to have multiplied rapidly since the April 20 spill and gobbled up so much of the dispersed oil as to render the plume “undetectable.”

That is pretty amazing if this is actually going on. Nature, man. Truly remarkable.

Since scientists know science, I will cede all knowledge on the subject to the researchers doing the researching and hope to hear more good news about the Gulf cleaning itself. But, I think FSist’s take is pretty well aligned with my own.

We remain slightly skeptical, but consider our minds blown.

Blown indeed.

eat oil

The Next Frontier of Risk: Space Debris

satellite

You may remember back in February 2009 when the Iridium 33 and Russia’s Cosmos 2251 satellites collided in orbit somewhere above Siberia. The crash of the two objects resulted in more than 600 pieces of debris larger than a tennis ball being strewn about in space, adding to what scientists and researchers call space debris or space junk.

The problem with the collision of satellites (many of which are non-working and have been abandoned in space to drift freely for eternity) is that it creates added debris in an already cluttered lower earth orbit, creating a hazard to operational satellites. The debris can also pose a threat to space stations — in March of last year, the crew of the international space station was forced to take cover in its escape capsule after learning that a piece of debris moving at 20,000 mph was heading towards them. Though the object missed the space station, it won’t be the last close call.

We covered space risk in our May 2009 issue, stating that scientists are concerned about the “dangerous and possibly irreversible cycle of wreckage.” The worst case scenario for the problem of space debris is known as the Kessler Syndrome (named after NASA scientist Donald J. Kessler), a scenario in which the volume of space debris in lower earth orbit is so high that the risk of further collisions increases to the point where launches become nearly impossible.

A space so cluttered with junk that the U.S. military (or any military for that matter), NASA or any weather, cable or GPS satellites cannot launch? Scary indeed.

The latest issue of the Economist explores the ongoing problem of space pollution, stating that:

At orbital velocity, some eight kilometers a second, even an object a centimeter across could knock a satellite out. According to the European Space Agency, the number of collision alters has doubled in the past decade.

But there are possible solutions to clearing the massive amount of space junk out there. The following are a few ideas put forth in the aforementioned article:

  1. Use ground-based lasers to change the orbits of pieces by vaporizing their surfaces. Apparently, the American armed forces claim one laser facility could complete the job in a matter of three years.
  2. Alliant Techsystems has proposed building special satellites enclosed in multiple spheres of strong, lightweight material. Debris that came into contact with the satellite would lose momentum and velocity with each collision. “As a bonus, many object large enough to cause damage would be shattered by the collision into fragments too small to cause serious harm.”
  3. Robots. That’s right — robots. Many space agencies are considering the option of sending robots into space to dock with dead satellites and fire rockets to either boost them into an uninhabited orbit or deorbit them completely.

Whatever these agencies decide, something should be done quickly to remedy the situation. For every day that passes, more space junk accumulates. Let us not come to realize the dreaded Kessler Syndrome.

From the August 21st - 27th, 2010 issue of the Economist.

From the August 21st - 27th, 2010 issue of the Economist.

“Fire Tornado” Hits Brazil

Unlike New York, one area in Brazil, Aracatuba, has not had any rainfall in three months. And when that happens, apparently the scariest thing in the world can occur: a fire tornado.

Yes, it sounds like something out of Roland Emmerich’s farcical film The Day After Tomorrow, but it is indeed real. Fortunately, however, the funnel of whirling fire dissipated before long.

Even more fortunately, someone caught the rare phenomenon on video for you to see. (via Huffington Post)