If Aaron Rodgers switched to Allstate, he would’ve had protection from mayhem, like the Giants.

This of course is based on the insurer’s “mayhem” ad series.

In fact, they have become such infamous and popular commercials that BusinessInsurance.org ranked it first in its list of the 10 best insurance commercials.

Thanks again to PropertyCasualty360.com.

Small businesses saw a sharp jump in hiring in December, according to an ADP report released Wednesday.

The private sector added 297,000 jobs overall last month, with almost all of the gains coming from companies with less than 500 workers. Those firms added a net 261,000 new positions during the month, ADP estimates.

This doesn’t mean unemployment rates will markedly fall in the near future, and the country surely still isn’t out of the woods yet, but it is at least some good news — something that has been hard to find for the past two years.

Unfortunately, there is an increasingly prevalent threat looming that may hamper economic recovery on a global level: energy costs. The BBC explains.

The current high price of oil will threaten economic recovery in 2011, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).

It said oil import costs for countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development had risen 30% in the past year to $790bn (£508bn). The agency says this is equal to a loss of income of 0.5% of OECD gross domestic product (GDP). The IEA’s chief economist said oil was a key import of any developed country.

There are also concerns about the rising costs of other commodities. The UN’s Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO) said the high oil price had pushed the price of food to a new record.

The article goes on to mention that higher oil and coal prices don’t just affect food, of course, but trade balances and household spending as well. Taken together, these two bits of information feel like one step forward, two steps back.

And this brings us to the Federal Reserve’s latest plan to buoy the economy.

A video that was made toward the end of last year was recently brought to my attention by by Forbes’ Amity Shales, who calls the viral cartoon Quantitive Easing Explained the “the best commentary on Fed policy currently out there.” I’ll let her explain in her own words why the blunt, cut-to-the-chase message about the Fed’s controversial decision to buy $600 billion worth of Treasury bonds has resonated so well with an American public tired of hearing government officials tout economical theory that few laymen understand — particularly when all most laymen want is more work.

What the national leap to these new media tells us is that many Americans are desperate. They want to know what must be changed—or kept the same—in the U.S. economy. Professional economists may be on the trail of the answer, but to find it they have to dedicate more time to inquiry and less to self-important obfuscation.

This so-called Quantitative Easing 2 (or QE2 as much of the financial media likes to term it so endearingly) will remain controversial for some time, and neither side will be proved correct until they are. And really, as with most interventionalist economic policy, unraveling all the threads to even determine what actually caused what will always be difficult — if not impossible — to know. There are so many externalities and all that.

So the mud-slinging debates surrounding the Fed’s latest move will remain ugly as many workers (or wannabe workers) ask similar questions to those in the video below — and companies continue to ponder when it will actually be safe to once again start spending and hiring.

The effects of the flooding are far-reaching. Reports indicate Queensland-based insurer SunCorp has told the Australian Stock Exchange it has received 1,800 claims so far. A JP Morgan analyst has said that losses to the insurance industry due to the flooding are estimated at $1 billion. The Insurance Council of Australia (ICA), however, has said that it is too early to provide a loss estimate.

The worst flooding in decades has affected an area the size of Germany and France, leaving towns virtual islands in a muddy inland sea, devastated crops, cut major rail and road links to coal ports, slashed exports and forced up world coal prices.

Coal production in Queensland has been severely disrupted. “The Queensland Resources Council said lost coal and gas production would run to hundreds of million of dollars.” Economists have projected a $6 billion loss from reduced export volumes.

Key crops such as cotton, sunflower, sugar and wheat have been gravely affected by the floods and, according to the Queensland Farmers Federation, few farmers have flood insurance. Crop losses alone could exceed $1 billion.

Below is a video of the “biblical” Australian floods that have claimed the lives of 10.

Needless to say, the property damage in Queensland and neighboring states will be a hard hit to the country’s insurers.

“Homeland security starts with hometown security, and each of us plays a critical role in keeping our country and communities safe,” [DHS] Secretary Janet Napolitano said. “This partnership will help millions of shoppers across the nation identify and report indicators of terrorism, crime and other threats to law enforcement authorities.”

The initiative will focus on informing customers in checkout lines via a short video message by Napolitano herself. Eventually, the program hopes to have close to 600 stores participating from 27 states. And it’s not only Walmart that has been selected for this campaign. The program has already partnered with the Mall of America, the American Hotel & Lodging Association, Amtrak, the Washington Metroplitan Area Transit Authority, the New York City Metropolitan Transit Authority, sports and general aviation. Here’s the video that some Walmart shoppers will see:

China produces 97% of rare earth metals, much of which is exported to Japan. But recent reports claim that shipments of the metallic element to Japan were halted. There are a few theories as to why.

The halting of shipments came, coincidentally (or not), after Japan arrested a Chinese fishing boat captain “whose trawler collided with two Japanese patrol boats off disputed islands in the East China sea.” Now, Japan is accusing China of using the metals, and its near-monopoly of it, as a “bargaining chip.” A claim China denies:

Speaking to a China-European Union business summit in Brussels, [China's Premier] Wen [Jiabao] echoed other Chinese officials in denying Beijing had ordered traders to hold back rare earth shipments to Japan due to a recent flare-up in tensions, the newspaper China Daily reported Friday.

China claims they cut back (denying they halted shipments) because demand for the metals is exceeding supply (a claim that has received much attention lately). In either case, the Japanese are very concerned that cutbacks in exports will hurt their tech-heavy manufacturing businesses. A valid concern indeed.

Newsweek has created a great slideshow illuminating some staggering numbers about the Gulf of Mexico oil spill. I suggest you head over there and read it in full as they include insightful synopses/explanations of each, but these were the few figures I found the most interesting:

• Time it would take the United States to use the oil spilled so far: 4 hours, 24 minutes
• Number of response workers: 42,000-plus
• Percent of the spill that’s natural gas: 70%
• Cubic feet of natural gas set ablaze: 1 billion
• Number of suggestions received with ideas to stop the spill: 112,000

Along with that last factoid, Newsweek also included the below video of Kevin Costner talking about his invention that can siphon polluted water from the Gulf, extract the oil from it and dump the clean water back into the sea. He came up with this “oil distiller” while filming Waterworld when he — for God knows what reason — partnered with his brother to create an actual, working version of a prop used in the film. Obviously, the device did not need to work in the movie. It’s Hollywood make-believe and we viewers would have just believed that the theoretical physics they discussed worked considering it is, ya know, a movie set in the distant future that featured a plot where the globe was entirely submersed by ocean and “dry land was a myth.” But, nope, Kevin needed realism within his work of fiction, so the brothers Costner fabricated a working model of this centrifuge-based “Ocean Therapy” technology.

And now, hopefully, we will all owe the man a big round of applause. After conducting a few tests, BP purchased 32 of the machines from Costner a few weeks ago and has already begun using them to aid the clean up efforts. The technology is not perfect (as you can learn about here), but it is helping — which means Kevin has almost certainly done more to help the Gulf of Mexico, marine life and affected coastal communities than you have.

Overall, it’s easily the best thing he has done since Thirteen Days.

But once in a while, I actually come across a decent one — like this “Safety Rap” made by Dominion Virginia Power that I just found at the Risk and Safety Blog. The beat is very Dr. Dre and the hook is sort of catchy. Nice job.

This economic theory battle rap featuring the lyrical stylings of John Maynard Keynes and F. A. Hayekand F. A. Hayek is pretty good, too. Hayek can actually flow. Who knew?

The most common thing I hear when I tell someone I’m an editor for a magazine about — and titled — risk management is “Ummm…What?” The second most common thing I hear is “Ohhh…Like Ben Stiller from Along Came Polly“? The third most common thing is “Do you work with George Costanza?”

Yes, for one glorious episode of Seinfeld, George had to learn about risk management while working for the New York Yankees and since that show is so ingrained in the public conscious, that is the only exposure that many people have had to the concept. (Click the link to watch George “educate” himself on the discipline.)

When I started out, I was no different. When I got into this job, I knew just as little as Costanza did. But ya know what? The more and more risk managers I meet, the more I realize that that is the most common way to enter the field. Increasingly, kids are going to school to become risk managers and, someday, the pros in the field will less often say “I don’t know how I got into this role. I was a safety manager then I got promoted — that was 12 years ago.” But today, that’s the most common thing I hear when someone tells me how they got into risk management.

Don’t get me wrong — many of the best risk mangers I know arrived by accident. It’s just funny to think that almost everyone who now manages risk professionally once had a little George Costanza in them. Even me.

And just think, it only took eight short years for me to run into Kenny Bania in a coffee shop and hear him say, ”I just stopped by to thank you. That risk management stuff you wrote for me is killer … It’s gold, Jared. Gold.”

What’s that? He said “Jerry”? And that wasn’t me? Oh.

Close enough.

“Organized” chaos

A few weeks ago, a report came out that — once again — India led the world in traffic deaths. Given its population (estimated at nearly 1.2 billion, which puts it behind only China), the nation would logically be near the top of the list regardless of any priority it placed on safety. In fact, when India took over the number one spot for road fatalities (from China) in 2006, many people saw this as further evidence that India was truly becoming a economic power.

While having many of you citizens die on the road is obviously counterintuitive to progress, more people driving meant more people were buying cars because more people had more money. Safety needed to be improved, sure, but automobile transportation is always going to lead to some casualties that correlate to population and/or what percentage of that population has purchasing power great enough to afford a luxury like a car.

Anyone who subscribed to that theory five years ago, however, is probably starting to see India’s high death rate for what it is: tragic and avoidable. This New York Times article breaks it down.

While road deaths in many other big emerging markets have declined or stabilized in recent years, even as vehicle sales jumped, in India, fatalities are skyrocketing — up 40 percent in five years to more than 118,000 in 2008, the last figure available.

A lethal brew of poor road planning, inadequate law enforcement, a surge in trucks and cars, and a flood of untrained drivers have made India the world’s road death capital. As the country’s fast-growing economy and huge population raise its importance on the world stage, the rising toll is a reminder that the government still struggles to keep its more than a billion people safe.

In China, by contrast, which has undergone an auto boom of its own, official figures for road deaths have been falling for much of the past decade, to 73,500 in 2008, as new highways segregate cars from pedestrians, tractors and other slow-moving traffic, and the government cracks down on drunken driving and other violations.

It has been illustrated through various means time and time again, but this is just one more example of how India’s city planners and public officials are failing to provide adequate infrastructure to support the nation’s booming economy.

Unfortunately for Indians, roadways aren’t the only transportation problem. As you can see in the video below, the trains are not a much better option. Marked by overcrowding and delays, it takes workers who commute to the major cities an exorbitant effort just to make it to their jobs every day. Worse still, there are still many political and religious-based attacks on railways in many regions. The 2006 Mumbai bombings, for example, killed more than 200 and injured another 700.

A few weeks ago I went to the annual meeting of Coface, a company that specializes in international credit risk. As it does each year, Coface brought in a group of experts to talk about the most pressing global economic issues and professor David Denoon of New York University spoke about China and India, painting a much different development picture of the world’s two most populous locales.

China, he said, is characterized by places like Shanghai, where just in recent years alone construction has begun on more high rises than exist in all of Chicago. By contrast, he emphasized that the per capita income in India is merely $3,100. That’s equal to one-third of the average income in Brazil and one-fifth the average in Russia.

Looking at those numbers, it seems that both infrastructure and income distribution will pose a growing concern for the nation that puts the I in BRIC.*

* (The acronym for the world’s four biggest emerging economic powers, Brazil, Russia, India and China. Also, for a look at some of the risks that have plagued the largest Indian carmaker, check out Bill Coffin’s look at Tata Motors’ “Cheap Cars, Costly Protests.”)