Storm Summary 13

Welcome to the twelfth “Storm Summary” post of the hurricane season. Most Fridays from now until the official end of the season (November 30) I will post an update on past and present hurricanes in the Atlantic and Pacific, like the following:

NAME PEAK STATUS DATE LOCATION DAMAGE
Carlos Cat. 1 7/10 to 7/16 East Pacific None
Felicia Cat. 4 8/3 to 8/11 East Pacific None
Guillermo Cat. 3 8/12 to 8/19 East Pacific None
Bill Cat. 4 8/15 to 8/24 Mid Atlantic No major damage
Fred Cat. 3 9/7 to 9/12 South Atlantic None
Jimena Cat. 4 8/29 to 9/4 East Pacific No major damage
Linda Cat. 1 9/7 to 9/11 East Pacific None
Rick Cat. 5 10/15 to 10/21 East Pacific No major damage
Neki Cat. 3 10/18 to 10/27 Central Pacific No major damage
Ida Cat. 2 11/4 to 11/10 Western Caribbean No major damage

Let’s talk Hurricane Ida.

Ida began as a small storm off the coast of Costa Rica on Nov. 4. It then strengthened to a tropical storm and then a hurricane — the third of the Atlantic hurricane season. Ida made landfall in Nicaragua on Nov. 5, which weakened it to a tropical storm.

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But Ida wouldn’t go down quietly — late on Nov. 6, Ida made her way back to water an regained strength. It was classified yet again as a tropical storm early the next morning and as a category 1 hurricane later that same day. Hurricane Ida was classified as a category 2 storm on Nov. 8 and she made landfall in and around El Salvador two days later as a weakened tropical storm.

Initial reports out of the area blamed Hurricane Ida for 124 deaths.

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However, later reports from the National Hurricane Center placed the blame on a “disturbed weather area” off the coast of El Salvador, which brought torrential rains and deadly mudslides. It should be noted that the reason we claim there was “no major damage” from Hurricane Ida is because, though Ida did cause minor damage, the majority of the destruction was due to the weather that immediately followed the Ida.

Though the Atlantic has only seen three official hurricanes, the waters of the Pacific are seeing constant activity, due, in part, to El Niño, which is “the periodic warming of central and eastern tropical Pacific waters [that] occurs on average every two to five years and typically lasts about 12 months.” Although most people think of this phenomenon in negative terms for the damage it can spur on the West Coast, it is actually beneficial to the East Coast/Gulf Coast in the sense that warmer waters in the Pacific usually create conditions that suppress Atlantic hurricanes.

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Why exactly this occurs is not something I’m qualified to explain but, as I recall, it has something to do with warm and cool air mixing in a different way and creating a “wind shear” that helps prevent storms from developing. The International Research Institute for Climate and Society can probably explain it better. For hard proof of El Niño, consider the fact that the Pacific has seen 23 named storms, mostly tropical storms and hurricanes, while the Atlantic waters have seen only 11.

For constant, up-to-date storm information, visit NOAA. And for breaking information on the insured losses the storms create, check out the Insurance Information Institute and the Insurance Services Office.

Most importantly, don’t forget to check back next Friday for our fourteenth “Storm Summary” installment.

The Decade That Was

In Risk Management‘s December issue this year, we are including a “Decade of Risk” feature that will recap how the events of the last ten years have seen — or more accurately, forced — a rapid evolution of the risk management.

We hope this will not only add some good perspective on just how far the discipline has come, but also provide a good complement to our annual “Year in Risk” feature, which is also being presented in new way this year that I think you will all enjoy. We wanted to do something a little different and hope you like it as much as we do.

Predictably, however, we’re not the only people who realized that 2010 will soon be upon us and that this makes a good time to look back. Newsweek, for instance, created the really good video I’ve included below, which will “give you every thing you need to know about the first decade of the 21st century.”

Like us, they also recognize that they know they didn’t have the time nor the memory to include every thing important that happened in the past ten years. And like them, we ask that you readers write in to let us know what other things we should have included — or simply to share your thoughts on those things that we do discuss.

So please do look out for our “Decade of Risk” and “Year in Risk” features in the December issue in a few weeks and please do tell us what you think.

(video via Urlesque’s really great Wrap Up of Wrap Ups, which features a bunch of similar videos like “The History of Music in 5 Minutes” and the fantastic “40 Inspirational Speeches in 2 Minutes.” There probably isn’t a better way to end your day than watching that one.)

Cyclone Phyan Halts Daily Life in Coastal India

Tropical Cyclone Phyan has just struck India’s western coast near the commercial capital of Mumbai, prompting mass evacuations.

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In preparation for the storm, authorities has closed schools, shops and offices.

The cyclone, however, turned out to be more rain than wrath along India’s drought-ridden coast. Though it has been reported that the storm caused no major damage, 200 fisherman are missing in the rough seas. Indian natives have seen their fair share of destruction from cyclones.

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In May of this year, Cyclone Aila pounded eastern India and Bangladesh, killing close to 200 people and destroying thousands of homes.

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And just two years ago, Cyclone Sidr struck the same area, killing more than 3,500 people and displacing another 2 million. Below is a listing of the 15 deadliest cyclones in history, with death toll figures (death tolls from the earliest cyclones are more speculative than fact).

Great Bhola Cyclone, Bangladesh
1970
Bay of Bengal
500,000
Hooghly River Cyclone, India and Bangladesh
1737
Bay of Bengal
300,000
Haiphong Typhoon, Vietnam
1881
West Pacific
300,000
Coringa, India
1839
Bay of Bengal
300,000
Backerganj Cyclone, Bangladesh
1584
Bay of Bengal
200,000
Great Backerganj Cyclone, Bangladesh
1876
Bay of Bengal
200,000
Chittagong, Bangladesh
1897
Bay of Bengal
175,000
Super Typhoon Nina, China
1975
West Pacific
171,000
Cyclone 02B, Bangladesh
1991
Bay of Bengal
140,000
Cyclone Nargis, Myanmar
2008
Bay of Bengal
140,000
Great Bombay Cyclone, India
1882
Arabian Sea
100,000
Hakata Bay Typhoon, Japan
1281
West Pacific
65,000
Calcutta, India
1864
Bay of Bengal
60,000
Swatlow, China
1922
West Pacific
60,000
Barisal, Bangladesh
1822
Bay of Bengal
50,000
Sunderbans coast, Bangladesh
1699
Bay of Bengal
50,000
India
1833
Bay of Bengal
50,000
India
1854
Bay of Bengal
50,000
Great Bhola Cyclone, Bangladesh
1970
Bay of Bengal
500,000
Hooghly River Cyclone, India and Bangladesh
1737
Bay of Bengal
300,000
Haiphong Typhoon, Vietnam
1881
West Pacific
300,000
Coringa, India
1839
Bay of Bengal
300,000
Backerganj Cyclone, Bangladesh
1584
Bay of Bengal
200,000
Great Backerganj Cyclone, Bangladesh
1876
Bay of Bengal
200,000
Chittagong, Bangladesh
1897
Bay of Bengal
175,000
Super Typhoon Nina, China
1975
West Pacific
171,000
Cyclone 02B, Bangladesh
1991
Bay of Bengal
140,000
Cyclone Nargis, Myanmar
2008
Bay of Bengal
140,000
Great Bombay Cyclone, India
1882
Arabian Sea
100,000
Hakata Bay Typhoon, Japan
1281
West Pacific
65,000
Calcutta, India
1864
Bay of Bengal
60,000
Swatlow, China
1922
West Pacific
60,000
Barisal, Bangladesh
1822
Bay of Bengal
50,000
Sunderbans coast, Bangladesh
1699
Bay of Bengal
50,000
India
1833
Bay of Bengal
50,000
India
1854
Bay of Bengal
50,000
  • Great Bhola Cyclone, Bangladesh, 1970, Bay of Bengal, 500,000
  • Hooghly River Cyclone, India and Bangladesh, 1737, Bay of Bengal, 300,000
  • Haiphong Typhoon, Vietnam, 1881, West Pacific, 300,000
  • Coringa, India, 1839, Bay of Bengal, 300,000
  • Backerganj Cyclone, Bangladesh, 1584, Bay of Bengal, 200,000
  • Great Backerganj Cyclone, Bangladesh, 1876, Bay of Bengal, 200,000
  • Chittagong, Bangladesh, 1897, Bay of Bengal, 175,000
  • Super Typhoon Nina, China, 1975, West Pacific, 171,000
  • Cyclone 02B, Bangladesh, 1991, Bay of Bengal, 140,000
  • Cyclone Nargis, Myanmar, 2008, Bay of Bengal, 140,000
  • Great Bombay Cyclone, India, 1882, Arabian Sea, 100,000
  • Hakata Bay Typhoon, Japan, 1281, West Pacific, 65,000
  • Calcutta, India, 1864, Bay of Bengal, 60,000
  • Swatlow, China, 1922, West Pacific, 60,000
  • Barisal, Bangladesh, 1822, Bay of Bengal, 50,000
  • Sunderbans coast, Bangladesh, 1699, Bay of Bengal, 50,000
  • India, 1833, Bay of Bengal, 50,000
  • India, 1854, Bay of Bengal, 50,000

Authorities remain on alert as mudslides are a common occurrence following the torrential rains of tropical cyclones. More reports will be available as the destruction (or lack thereof) and loss of life become more clear. Stay tuned.

“Sun-ny day, chas-ing the # clouds a-way…”

Forty years ago today, the first episode of Sesame Street hit the airwaves, revolutionizing the ways in which television could be used as an educational tool, particularly for young children. I was born in 1970, so I have never known a world without this show. It was always on in my house as my brothers and I grew up, and for anybody of my generation, all I have to do is mention any show character or sing a few bars of one of its trademark songs (the pinball counting song remains a fave) and I get instant recognition. It is one of those rare cultural phenomena that has educated countless children, remained relevant over the years and seems to have many more seasons ahead of it. As a fan and as a parent of kids who also grew up on Sesame Street, I’m pretty happy to see the show hit such a milestone.

The cast of Sesame Street for its 40th anniversary season. Photo Credit: Richard Termine

The cast of Sesame Street for its 40th anniversary season. Photo Credit: Richard Termine

It hasn’t always been sure success for Sesame Street, however. In fact, its very conception, initial execution and ongoing criticism has been, in many ways, an ongoing experiment in intelligent risk-taking. For starters, the show was created at a time when people didn’t know if TV could even be used to educate, and it took some generous grants to research the premise, as well as some pretty forward-thinking corporate sponsorship to help get the entire project off the ground. During the show’s development, segements with the Muppets fared will with kids, but the live-action “street” segments did not, so the show’s creators decided to go against the advice of their experts and create street segments where live actors and Muppet characters interacted. A bold move for a show without any kind of precedent, really, but one that paid off. The show captured the imagination and the attention of its audience while also paving new ground in terms of television entertainment. True innovation at work.

But there have been other pitfalls, as well. In 1970, the show’s racially integrated cast got it banned from the airwaves (briefly) in Mississippi, its portrayal of female characters got it bad marks from the National Organization for Women, and its lack of Hispanic characters got it criticism from Latino groups. Critics such as journalist Kay Hymowitz have also rapped the show for being little more than a delivery mechanism for merchandising, and for putting on a lot of flashy programming with little educational content to back it up. The show has even gotten political flak through the decades, mainly because it receives government funding and conservatives knock the show for having a liberal bias. A recent spot where Oscar the Grouch, reporter for GNN, gets a call regarding POX News could not have helped.

Perhaps the show’s worst challenge has been obsolescence, and the greatest risk it took was reformatting to maintain its relevancy. Facing declining ratings in recent years, the show realized that it had kicked off a children’s programing revolution that changed how kids themselves watched TV. With so many shows that older kids could watch, and realizing that kids were watching the show from an early age, Sesame Street aimed its content at young pre-schoolers, a move roundly criticized by Gen-X parents who felt the show was being dumbed down. Things are still tougher for the show than before, as it is producing fewer new shows each year and currently ranks only as the 15th most popular children’s show in the United States.

But Sesame Street is still having the last laugh, longer-running by far than any other children’s programming, and with more Emmy awards (118) to its credit than any other show, period. At present, it is estimated that around 77 million Americans have watched the show, and even Oscar the Grouch is on permanent display in the Smithsonian Museum of American History. All this for a show that began so humbly four decades ago on the unproven notion that kids could actually get something worthwhile from TV, and that make-believe friends made out of colorful fur could be one’s ambassador to a world of reading, writing and arithmetic. Who says risks don’t pay off?