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Terrorist Attacks: The Countries Most at Risk

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When we think of countries most at risk of terrorist attacks, we usually think of Iraq, Pakistan or Afghanistan. But according to a report from Maplecroft, Somalia is now more at risk than any other country in the world. The firm’s global ranking assessed the frequency and intensity of terrorist incidents in 196 countries and found the following countries qualify as “extreme risk” territories:

  1. Somalia
  2. Pakistan
  3. Iraq
  4. Afghanistan
  5. Palestinian Occupied Territory
  6. Columbia
  7. Thailand
  8. Philippines
  9. Yemen
  10. Russia

The report found that between June 2009 and June 2010, Somalia experienced 556 terrorist attacks, killing a total of 1,437 people and wounding 3,408.

The principal threat in Somalia comes from the Islamist al Shabaab, which has claimed responsibility for several deadly suicide bombings, including one in February 2009, which killed eleven Burundian soldiers on an AU peacekeeping mission.

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In a recent and worrying change of tactics, the group carried out its first major international attack in July 2010, when it bombed the Ugandan capital, Kampala, killing at least 74 people.

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Yemen makes its first appearance in the “extreme risk” category, with 109 attacks in the one-year period ending June 2010. The country’s primary source of terrorism is al-Qaeda, “which is causing growing alarm among Western intelligence services as the group plots more attacks abroad.

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Greece overtook Spain to become the European country most at risk from terrorist attacks. Though most Greek attacks tend to be non-fatal, they are highly disruptive, as we saw in the November 2010 letter bombs that targeted embassies in Athens and foreign leaders both in Greece and abroad.

Greece

Florida Sinkhole Claims Skyrocket

It seems the entire state of Florida is slowly caving in as more and more sinkholes appear throughout the sunshine state, resulting in a tripling of insurance claims in five years. According to a new state report, for the years 2006 through 2010, sinkhole claims have cost Florida property insurers $1.4 billion — a number that could reach $2 billion by the end of this year.

The report, authored by the state’s Office of Insurance Regulation, says sinkhole costs increased from $209 million in 2006 to $409 million in 2009, with the largest share of the total expense coming from structured loss (54%) and land loss (27%). In 2006, open claims totaled more than $3.3 million for expenses paid and $13.6 million for indemnity. By 2009, these numbers increased drastically to $29.5 million and $114.6 million respectively.

“There is no question that the tripling of frequency of claims will have a significant expense associated with adjusting these claims in Florida and will continue to put upward pressure on rates,” [state Insurance Commissioner Kevin McCarty] said Tuesday.

The bulk of the claims come from an area known as the Sinkhole belt — Hernando, Pasco, Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. McCarty has cited sinkholes as one of the major cost drivers of insurance premiums in the state. As a solution to the problem, McCarty is looking into changing policy language regarding the definition of structural damages or possibly creating a sinkhole insurance fund. Though McCarty and his team are brainstorming ways to deal with sinkholes without raising insurance rates, an increase is likely unavoidable. The state’s largest property insurer, Citizens Property Insurance, cited the cost of sinkhole claims in requesting a rate increase for next year. The insurer said it took in $19.6 million in premiums for sinkhole coverage in 2009 but has paid out $97 million in claims cost.

Here’s a well-crafted news clip from a Central Florida station about the growing number of sinkholes and the importance of insurance coverage.

Do Insurers Pose Systemic Risk?

The G20 is meeting today and tomorrow and among the items of its agenda is finalizing the new, stricter capital requirements that Basel III will mandate for banks.

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And also insurers?

Perhaps, according to a new report from Bloomberg.

The Financial Stability Board and the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision are considering including insurers and clearing houses in measures to safeguard the world economy from crises at so-called systemically important financial institutions, said the people, who declined to be identified because the talks are private … “Systemic relevance does not depend on an insurer’s size, but on the nature of the business,” Allianz SE Chief Financial Officer Oliver Baete said in a conference call yesterday.

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“Defining systemic relevance by size is wrong.

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I would always be watching for weak business models as those could become systemically relevant faster than we all can imagine.”

Obviously, many insurers disagree.

“We firmly believe that insurers, if they keep to their core business, are not systemically relevant as banks are, and we are very confident that politicians will clearly see that difference,” Joerg Schneider, chief financial officer at Munich Re, the world’s biggest reinsurer, said in a conference call Nov. 9. “We regard ourselves as not systemically relevant and we are quite convinced that this is economically sound.”

What do you think?

New Zealand Earthquake Bends Train Tracks

In September, a 7.0-magnitude earthquake rocked the south island of New Zealand near Christchurch. Fortunately, there were no reported deaths and only about 100 reported injures. The insured losses have been estimated by some to have eclipsed $1 billion, however, making this very real seismic event a very real event for the insurance industry as well.

But it wasn’t just insurers that were affected.

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As you can see below, one train track was permanently altered in what looks more like a Photoshopped image or a cartoon gag than an actual photograph. Sure enough, this actually happened — although no one is sure exactly how.

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Dave Petley, blogging at the American Geophysical Union, isn’t exactly sure what caused the strange deformations, but speculates that “The compression on the very strong railway line was accommodated when a weak point was found, leading to a comparatively rapid deformation to form the main buckle on the left. This then concentrated stress on both sides of the buckle, allowing the other (right side) bends to form.”

The lesson?

Mother Nature aint nothing to mess with.

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New Zealand Earthquake