Jan. 1 Reinsurance Renewal Rates Drop

New capacity, rate reductions and competition are a few factors contributing to a softer market and an 11% drop in reinsurance rate on line—a calculation of reinsurance premium divided by reinsurance limit—almost across the board, according to Guy Carpenter.

Much of this was driven by a decline of 15% in the United States, while property catastrophe pricing in Continental Europe and the United Kingdom fell by 10% and 15%, respectively, Guy Carpenter said.

Willis Re said in its “1st View” report that soft market conditions are not unique to the property catastrophe market. The report found that “with few exceptions rates are down on most lines at Jan. 1.”

Key influences on the Jan. 1 renewals were over-capacity and a number of other converging factors. “Rate reductions, new capacity, new market entrants, low interest rates, greater retention of reinsurance premiums by large buyers, diminishing reserve releases, expansion in terms and conditions and the increasing tempo of regulatory oversight” were issues facing reinsurers entering 2014.

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New capital from non-traditional capital market sources has grown to reach $50 billion. Compounding the situation, reinsurers are seeing lower demand from buyers, the report said.

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Peter Hearn, Willis Re chairman said in a statement, “Faced with these market headwinds, reinsurers are adopting a variety of strategies. Larger reinsurers are using their balance sheet strength and technical ability to offer more capacity and more complex, multi-class, multi-year deals. Others are expanding into specialty lines and many have developed multi-channel capacity offerings seeking to use their underwriting expertise to deploy capacity on behalf of capital markets. Additionally, we have seen the rise of pooling arrangements that give smaller reinsurers the opportunity to access business they might not otherwise see in their local markets.

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The United States is seeing a softening market as increased capacity from non-traditional capital providers and retained earnings from a benign catastrophe year pressures traditional reinsurers to offer significant price reductions to compete for business.

Also in the U.S.:

• Risk-adjusted price reductions are being seen in all sectors

• There are wide variations for regional and state specific programs, depending on loss experience and reliability of vendor models

• Multi-year contracts and market facilities are becoming more routine for reinsurers wishing to lock in business

Low Insurance Impact Expected from Haiyan

Damage in the Philippines from Typhoon Haiyan is widespread, with new information emerging daily. Insured losses, however, are expected to be low, with the greatest impact on smaller reinsurers, according to insurance industry reports.

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A.M. Best said in a briefing that it expects insured losses to be minimal, as non-life insurance is less than 1% of the country’s gross domestic product.

“Insured losses in the Philippines will be spread across many segments, including per­sonal lines, fire and property, and marine hull. Fire/property and marine hull will be well reinsured through the major global reinsurers and through Lloyd’s, which will also absorb some marine losses on a primary basis. Net losses to primary insurers will be limited, and some commercial losses also may be covered through captives or other forms of self-insurance,” the report said.

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A.M. Best expects Haiyan to be an “earnings event for reinsurers” – more substantial for smaller, regional reinsurers. While it is expected to have minor impact on larger global companies, it is “yet another loss on top of recent catastrophes in Europe.”

In an update, Dr. Robert Hartwig of the Insurance Information Institute said that economic damages will be significant, with Haiyan having a “major negative impact on the Philippine economy.”

He noted two reasons why insured losses from Haiyan are likely to be low:

• The storm did not have a direct impact on Manila, the capital and largest city in the Philippines, well to the north of the track of Typhoon Haiyan.

• The Philippines is a small market for property/casualty insurance, with premiums of just $1.23 billion written in 2012. This amounts to $12.70 per person, compared to $1,223.90 per person in the U.S. “Even compared with the rest of Asia, the penetration of insurance in the Philippines is relatively low,” Hartwig said in the report, adding that per capita premiums in Asia were $91.90 in 2012.

In 2012 the Philippine’s GDP per capital was ranked 124th out of 184 countries by the International Monetary Fund, he said. The Philippine economy has grown steadily, however—at an annual rate of 7.

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5% as of the second-quarter of 2013—and should become better insured in the future.

Philippines Life and Nonlife Insurance Premiums, 2012

 

Direct premiums written

Nonlife premiums *

$1,231

Life premiums

$2,265

Total premiums

$3,496

Percent of total world premiums

0.08%

* Includes accident and health insurance.

Source: Swiss Re, sigma, No. 3/2013.

Climate Change Report Causes Alarm

New findings on climate change, establishing it as a manmade phenomenon, are garnering attention from the insurance industry, which recommends immediate action.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) newest report  “clarifies what businesses and investors already know, that climate change is happening now and human activity is the dominant reason why,” Mindy Lubber, president of CERES, a nonprofit organization that works with insurers and investors said recently on a conference call. “Climate change is disrupting all aspects of our global economy, including supply chains, commodity markets and the entire insurance industry, which is seeing exponentially large losses from extreme weather events.”

Lara Mowery, managing director, head of global property specialty practice with Guy Carpenter & Co., noted that the report should cause “significant concern” and impact how insurers and reinsurers shape their business going forward.

Insurers’ and reinsurers’ business plans “depend critically on understanding and assessing risk, which is likely to become even more challenging as weather variability increases,” she said. Identifying and understanding the causes and consequences of climate change is essential to “implementing workable risk management solutions.”

Global cat losses are increasing, she explained. In the 1980s, “the rolling 10-year annual average for the worldwide cat loss was less than $10 billion. In the last few years that average has jumped up to more than $50 billion average, based on that 10-year rolling time frame.” In addition, 2005, 2011 and 2012 represent the top three insured cat loss years on record, she noted.

Given the IPCC’s conclusion on flood, drought and changing weather patterns and evidence of this over the past 50 years, the industry needs to evaluate how these changes could impact future losses. As an example, she said, the most widespread hazard of global warming is coastal flooding. Impact of events such as Superstorm Sandy, which produced devastating storm surge, could have even worse consequences if sea levels continue to rise. “Insurers and reinsurers must continually assess the most up to date research and adjust their business plans according to increases in calculated loss.”

While this has meant more insurer capital is at risk, “that can’t be the only response, the only solution and the only answer. We can’t just keep putting more money in the path of what’s happening,” Mowery said.

She emphasized that the industry and insurance buyers can be taking steps now to address the risks.

A recent example of innovation in this area is the Metropolitan Transportation Authority’s (MTA) $200 million catastrophe bond that was issued in July, “the first of its kind to cover storm surge specifically,” she explained. The MTA commented in the aftermath of Sandy that their traditional avenues for insurance and reinsurance “constricted dramatically,” making it more difficult for them to obtain the kind of risk transfer they needed.

She also pointed out that “We can’t continue to let human and economic costs escalate. Building codes and standards and land use strategies are accepted adaptation measures to improve resilience against flood, wind and fire impacts that may worsen under global warming.”

Coca-Cola Jumps on the Captive Bandwagon

One of the world’s largest beverage companies has successfully embraced the somewhat modern practice of funding employee benefits through captive utilization.

Coca-Cola recently began reinsuring some of its international pension liabilities through its Dublin-based captive, Coca-Cola Reinsurance Services Ltd. The captive reinsures about 0 million in annuities written by insurers for benefits provided to enrollees in three Coca-Cola pension plans in the United Kingdom and Ireland.

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After years of operating their own captive, Coca-Cola Reinsurance Services Ltd.

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, to fund a portion of their employee benefits, the beverage giant will now cover international benefit liabilities through a captive.

Coca-Cola had been handling “quite significant” property/casualty risks in its captives for “quite some time,” said Stacy Apter, senior global benefits consultant with Coca-Cola and a panelist at the conference. “Why would we not be taking advantage of the same efficiencies on the employee benefits side when they are more predictable risks?

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Apter stated that medical coverage, as an example, is similar to a cash flow operation, in that it is not difficult to predict yearly costs. It seems that employee benefit captives would be a good move most sizable companies, though only a handful have fully embraced it.

A few online resources for learning more about the world of employee benefit captives:

  • Captive.com — “Using Captives for Employee Benefits” covers why employers are using their captive for employee benefits, who has done it so far, how existing transactions have been structured and the primary issues that employers need to evaluate.
  • TowersPerrin.com — “Employee Benefits: Captive Manager’s Key Roles” explores the importance of having the right external partners when choosing a captive and how to ensure appropriate coordination among the internal and external parties involved.
  • Aon.com — “Employee Benefit Captives: Their Role in Managing Enterprise Risk” is a concise reference that can serve as a reference for further examination of the business issues involved in the placement of employee benefits risks in captive insurers.